Play: wait for a flush below 74.40, then buy the reclaim back above 75.58. Stop = the flush low (74.40 provisional). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: MCHP sold off hard into a tested support zone at 74.40–75.58. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 75.58 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 74.40 (provisional: the zone bottom — once a real flush happens, the stop moves to that flush low, usually tighter) |
| 1R | 1.18 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 77.94 |
| +3R target | 79.12 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 1.18 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 1.18. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | IN_ZONE | 74.40–75.58 (4t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08T20:46 | ARMED | 75.52 | zone 74.40-75.58 |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-08: never completed |