Play: wait for a flush below 514.37, then buy the reclaim back above 521.80. Stop = the flush low (513.35 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: CMI sold off hard into a tested support zone at 514.37–521.80. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 521.80 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 513.35 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 8.45 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 538.70 |
| +3R target | 547.15 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 8.45 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 8.45. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | IN_ZONE | 514.37–521.80 (5t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-08 | IN_ZONE | 514.37–521.80 (5t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07T20:46 | ARMED | 517.32 | zone 514.37-521.80 |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-07: never completed | |
| 2026-10-08T13:34 | UNDERCUT | 513.35 | CMI: WATCHING — undercut 514.37, flush low 513.35, awaiting reclaim of 521.80 |
| 2026-10-08T20:46 | ARMED | 520.40 | zone 514.37-521.80 |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-08: never completed |