Play: wait for a flush below 68.75, then buy the reclaim back above 71.40. Stop = the flush low (68.67 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: TEM sold off hard into a tested support zone at 68.75–71.40. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 71.40 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 68.67 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 2.73 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 76.85 |
| +3R target | 79.58 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 2.73 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 2.73. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 74.59–74.83 (5t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 74.59–74.83 (5t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | APPROACHING | 78.78–79.96 (5t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-06 | IN_ZONE | 71.97–73.00 (5t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-07 | IN_ZONE | 68.75–71.40 (5t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-08 | IN_ZONE | 68.75–71.40 (5t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-05: never completed | |
| 2026-10-06T20:46 | ARMED | 71.98 | zone 71.97-73.00 |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-06: never completed | |
| 2026-10-07T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 69.46 | TEM: WATCHING — undercut 71.97, flush low 69.46, awaiting reclaim of 73.00 |
| 2026-10-07T20:46 | ARMED | 70.35 | zone 68.75-71.40 |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-07: never completed | |
| 2026-10-08T13:33 | UNDERCUT | 68.67 | TEM: WATCHING — undercut 68.75, flush low 68.67, awaiting reclaim of 71.40 |
| 2026-10-08T20:46 | ARMED | 69.28 | zone 68.75-71.40 |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-08: never completed |