Play: wait for a flush below 78.47, then buy the reclaim back above 80.72. Stop = the flush low (77.62 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: TMDX sold off hard into a tested support zone at 78.47–80.72. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 80.89 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 77.62 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 3.27 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 87.44 |
| +3R target | 90.72 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 3.27 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 3.27. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 80.72–81.34 (3t) | 2.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | IN_ZONE | 78.47–80.72 (8t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | IN_ZONE | 78.47–80.72 (8t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | APPROACHING | 78.47–80.72 (8t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T20:46 | ARMED | 78.64 | zone 78.47-80.72 |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T13:56 | UNDERCUT | 78.10 | TMDX: WATCHING — undercut 78.47, flush low 78.10, awaiting reclaim of 80.72 |
| 2026-10-02T20:45 | ARMED | 79.79 | zone 78.47-80.72 |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T13:38 | UNDERCUT | 77.62 | TMDX: WATCHING — undercut 78.47, flush low 77.62, awaiting reclaim of 80.72 |
| 2026-10-05T14:22 | TRIGGERED | 80.89 | TMDX: TRIGGERED @ 80.89 | stop 77.62 (flush low) | risk/share 3.27 (4.05%) |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |