Play: wait for a flush below 16.27, then buy the reclaim back above 16.65. Stop = the flush low (18.38 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: RIOT sold off hard into a tested support zone at 16.27–16.65. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 16.65 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 18.38 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.01 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 16.67 |
| +3R target | 16.68 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.01 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.01. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 19.39–19.51 (3t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 19.39–19.51 (3t) | 4.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 19.39–19.51 (3t) | 3.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-06 | IN_ZONE | 18.76–19.07 (3t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-08 | APPROACHING | 16.27–16.65 (3t) | 4.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-05: never completed | |
| 2026-10-06T20:46 | ARMED | 18.93 | zone 18.76-19.07 |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-06: never completed | |
| 2026-10-07T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 18.38 | RIOT: WATCHING — undercut 18.76, flush low 18.38, awaiting reclaim of 19.07 |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-07: never completed | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-08: never completed |