Play: wait for a flush below 2.98, then buy the reclaim back above 3.08. Stop = the flush low (2.97 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: SPCE sold off hard into a tested support zone at 2.98–3.08. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 3.08 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 2.97 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.11 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 3.31 |
| +3R target | 3.43 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.11 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.11. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | IN_ZONE | 2.98–3.08 (6t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | IN_ZONE | 2.98–3.08 (6t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | IN_ZONE | 2.98–3.08 (6t) | 2.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | IN_ZONE | 2.98–3.08 (6t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30T20:45 | ARMED | 2.99 | zone 2.98-3.08 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 2.96 | SPCE: WATCHING — undercut 2.98, flush low 2.96, awaiting reclaim of 3.08 |
| 2026-10-01T20:46 | ARMED | 2.99 | zone 2.98-3.08 |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T13:42 | UNDERCUT | 2.97 | SPCE: WATCHING — undercut 2.98, flush low 2.97, awaiting reclaim of 3.08 |
| 2026-10-02T14:53 | TRIGGERED | 3.08 | SPCE: TRIGGERED @ 3.08 | stop 2.97 (flush low) | risk/share 0.11 (3.73%) |
| 2026-10-02T20:45 | ARMED | 3.03 | zone 2.98-3.08 |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T13:34 | UNDERCUT | 2.97 | SPCE: WATCHING — undercut 2.98, flush low 2.97, awaiting reclaim of 3.08 |
| 2026-10-05T20:46 | ARMED | 3.05 | zone 2.98-3.08 |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |