OK · data 2026-10-08 · 311/313 · watch stalled · f04d951 Sign in to run
SPCE TRIGGERED 2026-09-30 → 2026-10-05 · obp

Play: wait for a flush below 2.98, then buy the reclaim back above 3.08. Stop = the flush low (2.97 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.

How to play this (plain English)

The setup: SPCE sold off hard into a tested support zone at 2.98–3.08. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.

Entry 3.08 (actual reclaim price)
Stop 2.97 (the actual intraday flush low)
1R 0.11 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it.
+2R target3.31
+3R target3.43
Size Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.11 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.11.

Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.

Alerts

scanstatuszoneflushdialnote
2026-09-30IN_ZONE 2.98–3.08 (6t) 2.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-01IN_ZONE 2.98–3.08 (6t) 2.7 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-02IN_ZONE 2.98–3.08 (6t) 2.0 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-05IN_ZONE 2.98–3.08 (6t) 2.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%

Events

ts (UTC)eventpricedetail
2026-09-30T20:45ARMED 2.99 zone 2.98-3.08
2026-09-30T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-30: never completed
2026-10-01T13:31UNDERCUT 2.96 SPCE: WATCHING — undercut 2.98, flush low 2.96, awaiting reclaim of 3.08
2026-10-01T20:46ARMED 2.99 zone 2.98-3.08
2026-10-01T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-01: never completed
2026-10-02T13:42UNDERCUT 2.97 SPCE: WATCHING — undercut 2.98, flush low 2.97, awaiting reclaim of 3.08
2026-10-02T14:53TRIGGERED 3.08 SPCE: TRIGGERED @ 3.08 | stop 2.97 (flush low) | risk/share 0.11 (3.73%)
2026-10-02T20:45ARMED 3.03 zone 2.98-3.08
2026-10-02T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-02 captured
2026-10-05T13:34UNDERCUT 2.97 SPCE: WATCHING — undercut 2.98, flush low 2.97, awaiting reclaim of 3.08
2026-10-05T20:46ARMED 3.05 zone 2.98-3.08
2026-10-05T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-05 captured
2026-10-06T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-06 captured
2026-10-07T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-07 captured
2026-10-08T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-08 captured
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