Play: wait for a flush below 114.05, then buy the reclaim back above 114.41. Stop = the flush low (114.05 provisional). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: BWXT sold off hard into a tested support zone at 114.05–114.41. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 114.41 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 114.05 (provisional: the zone bottom — once a real flush happens, the stop moves to that flush low, usually tighter) |
| 1R | 0.36 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 115.13 |
| +3R target | 115.49 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.36 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.36. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | CAPITULATION | 114.05–114.41 (3t) | 3.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-09-29 | CAPITULATION | 114.05–114.41 (3t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-09-30 | CAPITULATION | 114.05–114.41 (3t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-10-01 | CAPITULATION | 114.05–114.41 (3t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush 1 session(s) ago |
| 2026-10-02 | CAPITULATION | 114.05–114.41 (3t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush 2 session(s) ago |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28T20:46 | ARMED | 134.35 | zone 114.05-114.41 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T20:45 | ARMED | 138.01 | zone 114.05-114.41 |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-29: never completed | |
| 2026-09-30T20:45 | ARMED | 137.00 | zone 114.05-114.41 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T20:46 | ARMED | 136.79 | zone 114.05-114.41 |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T20:45 | ARMED | 134.86 | zone 114.05-114.41 |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-05: never completed | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-06: never completed | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-07: never completed | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-08: never completed |