Play: wait for a flush below 178.30, then buy the reclaim back above 180.57. Stop = the flush low (178.12 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: DLR sold off hard into a tested support zone at 178.30–180.57. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 180.81 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 178.12 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 2.69 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 186.19 |
| +3R target | 188.88 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 2.69 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 2.69. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 178.30–180.57 (11t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | IN_ZONE | 178.30–180.57 (11t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 175.83–176.86 (3t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | IN_ZONE | 175.47–176.86 (5t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | IN_ZONE | 175.47–176.86 (4t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | IN_ZONE | 175.47–176.86 (4t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | IN_ZONE | 178.30–180.57 (11t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T20:45 | ARMED | 178.61 | zone 178.30-180.57 |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T13:32 | UNDERCUT | 178.14 | DLR: WATCHING — undercut 178.30, flush low 178.14, awaiting reclaim of 180.57 |
| 2026-09-28T13:51 | TRIGGERED | 180.81 | DLR: TRIGGERED @ 180.81 | stop 177.63 (flush low) | risk/share 3.18 (1.76%) |
| 2026-09-28T15:14 | FAILED | 177.63 | DLR: FAILED — green-to-red back through 178.30; if entered, exit per rules |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T20:45 | ARMED | 176.56 | zone 175.47-176.86 |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T13:37 | UNDERCUT | 174.97 | DLR: WATCHING — undercut 175.47, flush low 174.97, awaiting reclaim of 176.86 |
| 2026-09-30T20:45 | ARMED | 175.53 | zone 175.47-176.86 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 175.27 | DLR: WATCHING — undercut 175.47, flush low 175.27, awaiting reclaim of 176.86 |
| 2026-10-01T20:46 | ARMED | 176.49 | zone 175.47-176.86 |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T20:45 | ARMED | 178.55 | zone 178.30-180.57 |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T13:38 | UNDERCUT | 178.12 | DLR: WATCHING — undercut 178.30, flush low 178.12, awaiting reclaim of 180.57 |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured |