Play: wait for a flush below 13.18, then buy the reclaim back above 13.33. Stop = the flush low (13.01 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: USAR sold off hard into a tested support zone at 13.18–13.33. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 13.33 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 13.01 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.32 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 13.97 |
| +3R target | 14.29 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.32 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.32. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 14.81–15.25 (7t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | IN_ZONE | 14.81–15.25 (7t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 13.56–13.93 (7t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 13.56–13.93 (7t) | 3.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 13.56–13.93 (7t) | 3.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | IN_ZONE | 13.56–13.93 (7t) | 4.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | IN_ZONE | 13.56–13.93 (7t) | 3.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | IN_ZONE | 13.56–13.93 (7t) | 3.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-06 | IN_ZONE | 13.56–13.87 (6t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-07 | IN_ZONE | 13.18–13.33 (4t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T20:45 | ARMED | 15.18 | zone 14.81-15.25 |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T13:37 | UNDERCUT | 14.80 | USAR: WATCHING — undercut 14.81, flush low 14.80, awaiting reclaim of 15.25 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-29: never completed | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T20:46 | ARMED | 13.80 | zone 13.56-13.93 |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T19:40 | UNDERCUT | 13.55 | USAR: WATCHING — undercut 13.56, flush low 13.55, awaiting reclaim of 13.93 |
| 2026-10-02T20:45 | ARMED | 13.59 | zone 13.56-13.93 |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T13:33 | UNDERCUT | 13.48 | USAR: WATCHING — undercut 13.56, flush low 13.48, awaiting reclaim of 13.93 |
| 2026-10-05T20:46 | ARMED | 13.65 | zone 13.56-13.93 |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-05: never completed | |
| 2026-10-06T20:46 | ARMED | 13.74 | zone 13.56-13.87 |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-06: never completed | |
| 2026-10-07T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 13.28 | USAR: WATCHING — undercut 13.56, flush low 13.28, awaiting reclaim of 13.87 |
| 2026-10-07T20:46 | ARMED | 13.23 | zone 13.18-13.33 |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-07: never completed | |
| 2026-10-08T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 13.01 | USAR: WATCHING — undercut 13.18, flush low 13.01, awaiting reclaim of 13.33 |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-08: never completed |