Play: wait for a flush below 96.68, then buy the reclaim back above 97.96. Stop = the flush low (96.52 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: W sold off hard into a tested support zone at 96.68–97.96. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 98.19 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 96.52 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 1.67 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 101.53 |
| +3R target | 103.20 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 1.67 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 1.67. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | APPROACHING | 96.68–97.96 (5t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | IN_ZONE | 96.68–97.96 (5t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 96.68–97.96 (5t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 96.68–97.96 (5t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 96.68–97.96 (5t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 96.68–97.96 (5t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T20:46 | ARMED | 97.67 | zone 96.68-97.96 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T13:38 | UNDERCUT | 96.52 | W: WATCHING — undercut 96.68, flush low 96.52, awaiting reclaim of 97.96 |
| 2026-09-25T16:03 | TRIGGERED | 98.19 | W: TRIGGERED @ 98.19 | stop 96.11 (flush low) | risk/share 2.08 (2.12%) |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |