Play: wait for a flush below 14.76, then buy the reclaim back above 15.22. Stop = the flush low (14.75 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: QBTS sold off hard into a tested support zone at 14.76–15.22. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 17.86 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 14.75 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 3.11 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 24.08 |
| +3R target | 27.19 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 3.11 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 3.11. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | IN_ZONE | 16.73–17.11 (5t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | IN_ZONE | 17.26–17.74 (5t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | IN_ZONE | 16.73–17.11 (5t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 16.02–16.29 (6t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 16.02–16.29 (6t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 16.02–16.29 (6t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 14.76–15.22 (6t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | APPROACHING | 14.76–15.22 (6t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-06 | APPROACHING | 14.76–15.22 (6t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-07 | IN_ZONE | 14.76–15.22 (6t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23T20:46 | ARMED | 16.81 | zone 16.73-17.11 |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 16.49 | QBTS: WATCHING — undercut 16.73, flush low 16.49, awaiting reclaim of 17.11 |
| 2026-09-24T16:25 | TRIGGERED | 17.27 | QBTS: TRIGGERED @ 17.27 | stop 16.48 (flush low) | risk/share 0.79 (4.60%) |
| 2026-09-24T20:46 | ARMED | 17.48 | zone 17.26-17.74 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T14:05 | UNDERCUT | 17.23 | QBTS: WATCHING — undercut 17.26, flush low 17.23, awaiting reclaim of 17.74 |
| 2026-09-25T15:21 | TRIGGERED | 17.86 | QBTS: TRIGGERED @ 17.86 | stop 17.23 (flush low) | risk/share 0.62 (3.50%) |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T20:46 | ARMED | 16.78 | zone 16.73-17.11 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T14:03 | UNDERCUT | 16.69 | QBTS: WATCHING — undercut 16.73, flush low 16.69, awaiting reclaim of 17.11 |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T20:46 | ARMED | 15.22 | zone 14.76-15.22 |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T13:58 | UNDERCUT | 14.75 | QBTS: WATCHING — undercut 14.76, flush low 14.75, awaiting reclaim of 15.22 |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |