Play: wait for a flush below 244.30, then buy the reclaim back above 244.73. Stop = the flush low (248.76 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: AMZN sold off hard into a tested support zone at 244.30–244.73. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 249.78 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 248.76 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 1.02 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 251.82 |
| +3R target | 252.84 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 1.02 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 1.02. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | IN_ZONE | 247.78–249.71 (5t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | IN_ZONE | 247.78–249.71 (5t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | IN_ZONE | 247.78–249.71 (5t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | IN_ZONE | 248.94–249.71 (4t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 244.30–244.73 (3t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23T20:46 | ARMED | 249.27 | zone 247.78-249.71 |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 245.90 | AMZN: WATCHING — undercut 247.78, flush low 245.90, awaiting reclaim of 249.71 |
| 2026-09-24T18:10 | TRIGGERED | 249.79 | AMZN: TRIGGERED @ 249.79 | stop 245.65 (flush low) | risk/share 4.14 (1.66%) |
| 2026-09-24T20:46 | ARMED | 249.38 | zone 247.78-249.71 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T13:33 | UNDERCUT | 247.75 | AMZN: WATCHING — undercut 247.78, flush low 247.75, awaiting reclaim of 249.71 |
| 2026-09-25T16:02 | TRIGGERED | 249.88 | AMZN: TRIGGERED @ 249.88 | stop 247.26 (flush low) | risk/share 2.62 (1.05%) |
| 2026-09-25T20:45 | ARMED | 249.67 | zone 247.78-249.71 |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 245.35 | AMZN: WATCHING — undercut 247.78, flush low 245.35, awaiting reclaim of 249.71 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T20:45 | ARMED | 249.15 | zone 248.94-249.71 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T13:46 | UNDERCUT | 248.76 | AMZN: WATCHING — undercut 248.94, flush low 248.76, awaiting reclaim of 249.71 |
| 2026-10-01T17:34 | TRIGGERED | 249.78 | AMZN: TRIGGERED @ 249.78 | stop 246.12 (flush low) | risk/share 3.66 (1.47%) |
| 2026-10-01T18:00 | FAILED | 246.12 | AMZN: FAILED — green-to-red back through 248.94; if entered, exit per rules |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |