OK · data 2026-10-08 · 311/313 · watch stalled · f04d951 Sign in to run
EXPE NO_TRIGGER 2026-09-22 → 2026-10-01 · obp

Play: wait for a flush below 252.23, then buy the reclaim back above 253.66. Stop = the flush low (252.23 provisional). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.

How to play this (plain English)

The setup: EXPE sold off hard into a tested support zone at 252.23–253.66. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.

Entry 253.66 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level)
Stop 252.23 (provisional: the zone bottom — once a real flush happens, the stop moves to that flush low, usually tighter)
1R 1.43 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it.
+2R target256.52
+3R target257.95
Size Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 1.43 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 1.43.

Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.

Alerts

scanstatuszoneflushdialnote
2026-09-22APPROACHING 279.61–280.51 (5t) 2.6 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-23APPROACHING 252.23–253.66 (3t) 3.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-24APPROACHING 252.23–253.66 (3t) 3.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-25APPROACHING 252.23–253.66 (3t) 2.5 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-28APPROACHING 252.23–253.66 (3t) 2.8 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-30APPROACHING 252.23–253.66 (3t) 2.0 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-01APPROACHING 252.23–253.66 (3t) 2.2 ADR 0.25-0.50%

Events

ts (UTC)eventpricedetail
2026-09-22T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-22: never completed
2026-09-23T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-23: never completed
2026-09-24T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-24: never completed
2026-09-25T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-25: never completed
2026-09-28T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-28: never completed
2026-09-29T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-29: never completed
2026-09-30T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-30: never completed
2026-10-01T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-01: never completed
2026-10-02T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-02: never completed
2026-10-05T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-05: never completed
2026-10-06T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-06: never completed
2026-10-07T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-07: never completed
2026-10-08T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-08: never completed
Personal research log. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation. Hypothetical/paper outcomes unless stated otherwise. An independent research system; not affiliated with, endorsed by, or representing any individual, service, or brand.