Play: wait for a flush below 479.02, then buy the reclaim back above 481.28. Stop = the flush low (505.34 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: NOC sold off hard into a tested support zone at 479.02–481.28. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 481.28 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 505.34 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.01 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 481.30 |
| +3R target | 481.31 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.01 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.01. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | IN_ZONE | 507.67–512.54 (5t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | APPROACHING | 507.67–512.54 (5t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | IN_ZONE | 507.67–512.54 (5t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 505.75–510.21 (4t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | IN_ZONE | 505.75–510.21 (4t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 493.84–498.53 (5t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 479.02–481.28 (4t) | 4.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 479.02–481.28 (4t) | 4.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 471.89–472.96 (3t) | 4.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | APPROACHING | 471.89–472.96 (3t) | 4.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-06 | APPROACHING | 479.02–481.28 (4t) | 3.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-07 | APPROACHING | 468.29–472.96 (5t) | 3.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-08 | APPROACHING | 479.02–481.28 (4t) | 3.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22T20:45 | ARMED | 509.86 | zone 507.67-512.54 |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T20:46 | ARMED | 508.98 | zone 507.67-512.54 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T20:46 | ARMED | 505.80 | zone 505.75-510.21 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T14:22 | UNDERCUT | 505.34 | NOC: WATCHING — undercut 505.75, flush low 505.34, awaiting reclaim of 510.21 |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-29: never completed | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-05: never completed | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-06: never completed | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-07: never completed | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-08: never completed |