Play: wait for a flush below 76.27, then buy the reclaim back above 77.10. Stop = the flush low (76.47 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: TXT sold off hard into a tested support zone at 76.27–77.10. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 77.10 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 76.47 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.63 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 78.37 |
| +3R target | 79.00 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.63 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.63. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | APPROACHING | 78.12–79.02 (11t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 76.77–77.10 (3t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | IN_ZONE | 76.77–77.10 (3t) | 3.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | IN_ZONE | 75.59–76.45 (7t) | 4.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 75.59–76.45 (7t) | 3.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 76.77–77.10 (3t) | 3.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 76.77–77.10 (3t) | 3.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 75.59–75.80 (4t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 76.27–77.10 (5t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T20:46 | ARMED | 76.81 | zone 76.77-77.10 |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T13:33 | UNDERCUT | 76.47 | TXT: WATCHING — undercut 76.77, flush low 76.47, awaiting reclaim of 77.10 |
| 2026-09-24T20:45 | ARMED | 76.02 | zone 75.59-76.45 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-29: never completed | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-05: never completed | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-06: never completed | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-07: never completed | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-08: never completed |