Play: wait for a flush below 43.46, then buy the reclaim back above 43.57. Stop = the flush low (46.10 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: BILL sold off hard into a tested support zone at 43.46–43.57. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 43.57 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 46.10 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.01 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 43.59 |
| +3R target | 43.60 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.01 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.01. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | APPROACHING | 46.20–46.94 (10t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | IN_ZONE | 46.20–46.94 (10t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 43.46–43.57 (3t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 43.46–43.57 (3t) | 3.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 40.81–41.14 (5t) | 4.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 40.81–41.14 (5t) | 4.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 40.81–41.14 (5t) | 3.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 43.46–43.57 (3t) | 3.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 43.46–43.57 (3t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T20:45 | ARMED | 46.49 | zone 46.20-46.94 |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T14:02 | UNDERCUT | 46.10 | BILL: WATCHING — undercut 46.20, flush low 46.10, awaiting reclaim of 46.94 |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-29: never completed | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-05: never completed | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-06: never completed | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-07: never completed | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-08: never completed |