Play: wait for a flush below 1.04, then buy the reclaim back above 1.05. Stop = the flush low (1.34 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: MBOT sold off hard into a tested support zone at 1.04–1.05. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 1.36 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 1.34 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.02 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 1.40 |
| +3R target | 1.42 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.02 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.02. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | APPROACHING | 1.35–1.35 (4t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | IN_ZONE | 1.35–1.35 (4t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 1.35–1.35 (4t) | 3.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | CAPITULATION | 1.04–1.05 (3t) | 3.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-09-28 | CAPITULATION | 1.04–1.05 (3t) | 4.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-09-29 | CAPITULATION | 1.04–1.05 (3t) | 3.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-09-30 | CAPITULATION | 1.04–1.05 (3t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-10-01 | CAPITULATION | 1.04–1.05 (3t) | 3.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-10-02 | CAPITULATION | 1.04–1.05 (3t) | 4.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-10-05 | APPROACHING | 1.04–1.05 (3t) | 4.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-06 | APPROACHING | 1.04–1.05 (3t) | 4.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-07 | CAPITULATION | 1.04–1.05 (3t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | flush today |
| 2026-10-08 | APPROACHING | 1.04–1.05 (4t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T20:45 | ARMED | 1.35 | zone 1.35-1.35 |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T13:55 | UNDERCUT | 1.34 | MBOT: WATCHING — undercut 1.35, flush low 1.34, awaiting reclaim of 1.35 |
| 2026-09-22T15:19 | TRIGGERED | 1.36 | MBOT: TRIGGERED @ 1.36 | stop 1.33 (flush low) | risk/share 0.03 (2.21%) |
| 2026-09-22T15:41 | FAILED | 1.33 | MBOT: FAILED — green-to-red back through 1.35; if entered, exit per rules |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-22 captured | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-23 captured | |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T20:45 | ARMED | 1.27 | zone 1.04-1.05 |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T20:46 | ARMED | 1.25 | zone 1.04-1.05 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T20:45 | ARMED | 1.25 | zone 1.04-1.05 |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T20:45 | ARMED | 1.20 | zone 1.04-1.05 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T20:46 | ARMED | 1.20 | zone 1.04-1.05 |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T20:45 | ARMED | 1.16 | zone 1.04-1.05 |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T20:46 | ARMED | 1.12 | zone 1.04-1.05 |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |