OK · data 2026-10-08 · 311/313 · watch stalled · f04d951 Sign in to run
MBOT FAILED 2026-09-18 → 2026-10-08 · obp

Play: wait for a flush below 1.04, then buy the reclaim back above 1.05. Stop = the flush low (1.34 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.

How to play this (plain English)

The setup: MBOT sold off hard into a tested support zone at 1.04–1.05. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.

Entry 1.36 (actual reclaim price)
Stop 1.34 (the actual intraday flush low)
1R 0.02 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it.
+2R target1.40
+3R target1.42
Size Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.02 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.02.

Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.

Alerts

scanstatuszoneflushdialnote
2026-09-18APPROACHING 1.35–1.35 (4t) 2.7 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-21IN_ZONE 1.35–1.35 (4t) 2.8 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-22APPROACHING 1.35–1.35 (4t) 3.9 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-25CAPITULATION 1.04–1.05 (3t) 3.8 ADR 0.25-0.50%flush today
2026-09-28CAPITULATION 1.04–1.05 (3t) 4.0 ADR 0.25-0.50%flush today
2026-09-29CAPITULATION 1.04–1.05 (3t) 3.6 ADR 0.25-0.50%flush today
2026-09-30CAPITULATION 1.04–1.05 (3t) 3.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%flush today
2026-10-01CAPITULATION 1.04–1.05 (3t) 3.6 ADR 0.25-0.50%flush today
2026-10-02CAPITULATION 1.04–1.05 (3t) 4.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%flush today
2026-10-05APPROACHING 1.04–1.05 (3t) 4.4 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-06APPROACHING 1.04–1.05 (3t) 4.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-07CAPITULATION 1.04–1.05 (3t) 3.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%flush today
2026-10-08APPROACHING 1.04–1.05 (4t) 3.0 ADR 0.25-0.50%

Events

ts (UTC)eventpricedetail
2026-09-18T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-18: never completed
2026-09-21T20:45ARMED 1.35 zone 1.35-1.35
2026-09-21T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-21: never completed
2026-09-22T13:55UNDERCUT 1.34 MBOT: WATCHING — undercut 1.35, flush low 1.34, awaiting reclaim of 1.35
2026-09-22T15:19TRIGGERED 1.36 MBOT: TRIGGERED @ 1.36 | stop 1.33 (flush low) | risk/share 0.03 (2.21%)
2026-09-22T15:41FAILED 1.33 MBOT: FAILED — green-to-red back through 1.35; if entered, exit per rules
2026-09-22T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-22 captured
2026-09-23T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-23 captured
2026-09-24T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-24 captured
2026-09-25T20:45ARMED 1.27 zone 1.04-1.05
2026-09-25T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-25 captured
2026-09-28T20:46ARMED 1.25 zone 1.04-1.05
2026-09-28T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-28 captured
2026-09-29T20:45ARMED 1.25 zone 1.04-1.05
2026-09-29T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-29 captured
2026-09-30T20:45ARMED 1.20 zone 1.04-1.05
2026-09-30T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-30 captured
2026-10-01T20:46ARMED 1.20 zone 1.04-1.05
2026-10-01T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-01 captured
2026-10-02T20:45ARMED 1.16 zone 1.04-1.05
2026-10-02T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-02 captured
2026-10-05T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-05 captured
2026-10-06T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-06 captured
2026-10-07T20:46ARMED 1.12 zone 1.04-1.05
2026-10-07T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-07 captured
2026-10-08T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-08 captured
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