Play: wait for a flush below 187.58, then buy the reclaim back above 188.66. Stop = the flush low (187.18 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: BA sold off hard into a tested support zone at 187.58–188.66. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 188.96 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 187.18 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 1.78 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 192.52 |
| +3R target | 194.30 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 1.78 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 1.78. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | APPROACHING | 197.03–198.75 (3t) | 3.9 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-18 | IN_ZONE | 197.03–198.75 (3t) | 3.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | APPROACHING | 197.03–198.75 (3t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | IN_ZONE | 197.03–198.75 (3t) | 3.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | APPROACHING | 197.03–198.75 (3t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 195.28–195.46 (3t) | 3.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | IN_ZONE | 197.03–198.75 (3t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | IN_ZONE | 182.57–184.40 (4t) | 3.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | IN_ZONE | 187.58–188.66 (5t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 182.57–184.40 (4t) | 3.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 187.58–188.66 (5t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 187.58–188.66 (5t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T20:45 | ARMED | 198.20 | zone 197.03-198.75 |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T20:45 | ARMED | 197.72 | zone 197.03-198.75 |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T20:45 | ARMED | 198.07 | zone 197.03-198.75 |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 191.84 | BA: WATCHING — undercut 197.03, flush low 191.84, awaiting reclaim of 198.75 |
| 2026-09-28T20:46 | ARMED | 184.39 | zone 182.57-184.40 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T20:45 | ARMED | 187.68 | zone 187.58-188.66 |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-29: never completed | |
| 2026-09-30T14:03 | UNDERCUT | 187.18 | BA: WATCHING — undercut 187.58, flush low 187.18, awaiting reclaim of 188.66 |
| 2026-09-30T14:07 | TRIGGERED | 188.96 | BA: TRIGGERED @ 188.96 | stop 187.18 (flush low) | risk/share 1.78 (0.94%) |
| 2026-09-30T15:33 | FAILED | 187.18 | BA: FAILED — green-to-red back through 187.58; if entered, exit per rules |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured |