OK · data 2026-10-08 · 311/313 · watch stalled · f04d951 Sign in to run
AXP NO_TRIGGER 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-01 · obp

Play: wait for a flush below 301.73, then buy the reclaim back above 303.79. Stop = the flush low (301.62 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.

How to play this (plain English)

The setup: AXP sold off hard into a tested support zone at 301.73–303.79. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.

Entry 303.79 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level)
Stop 301.62 (the actual intraday flush low)
1R 2.17 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it.
+2R target308.13
+3R target310.30
Size Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 2.17 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 2.17.

Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.

Alerts

scanstatuszoneflushdialnote
2026-09-16IN_ZONE 312.23–313.69 (4t) 3.6 ADR 0-0.25%
2026-09-17APPROACHING 309.64–310.00 (3t) 3.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-18APPROACHING 309.64–310.00 (3t) 3.8 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-21IN_ZONE 312.23–313.62 (3t) 3.4 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-22APPROACHING 303.04–303.79 (5t) 4.2 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-24APPROACHING 303.04–303.79 (5t) 5.4 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-25APPROACHING 306.23–307.82 (6t) 3.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-28IN_ZONE 306.23–307.82 (6t) 2.2 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-29APPROACHING 301.73–303.79 (6t) 2.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-30APPROACHING 301.73–303.79 (5t) 2.4 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-01IN_ZONE 301.73–303.79 (5t) 3.5 ADR 0.25-0.50%

Events

ts (UTC)eventpricedetail
2026-09-16T20:45ARMED 312.43 zone 312.23-313.69
2026-09-16T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-16: never completed
2026-09-17T19:42UNDERCUT 312.23 AXP: WATCHING — undercut 312.23, flush low 312.23, awaiting reclaim of 313.69
2026-09-17T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-17: never completed
2026-09-18T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-18: never completed
2026-09-21T20:45ARMED 313.59 zone 312.23-313.62
2026-09-21T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-21: never completed
2026-09-22T14:16UNDERCUT 312.21 AXP: WATCHING — undercut 312.23, flush low 312.21, awaiting reclaim of 313.62
2026-09-22T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-22: never completed
2026-09-23T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-23: never completed
2026-09-24T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-24: never completed
2026-09-25T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-25: never completed
2026-09-28T20:46ARMED 306.33 zone 306.23-307.82
2026-09-28T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-28: never completed
2026-09-29T13:31UNDERCUT 305.87 AXP: WATCHING — undercut 306.23, flush low 305.87, awaiting reclaim of 307.82
2026-09-29T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-29: never completed
2026-09-30T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-30: never completed
2026-10-01T20:46ARMED 302.09 zone 301.73-303.79
2026-10-01T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-01: never completed
2026-10-02T13:35UNDERCUT 301.62 AXP: WATCHING — undercut 301.73, flush low 301.62, awaiting reclaim of 303.79
2026-10-02T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-02: never completed
2026-10-05T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-05: never completed
2026-10-06T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-06: never completed
2026-10-07T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-07: never completed
2026-10-08T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-08: never completed
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