OK · data 2026-10-08 · 311/313 · watch stalled · f04d951 Sign in to run
RIVN NO_TRIGGER 2026-09-15 → 2026-10-08 · obp

Play: wait for a flush below 14.14, then buy the reclaim back above 14.45. Stop = the flush low (14.49 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.

How to play this (plain English)

The setup: RIVN sold off hard into a tested support zone at 14.14–14.45. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.

Entry 14.45 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level)
Stop 14.49 (the actual intraday flush low)
1R 0.01 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it.
+2R target14.47
+3R target14.48
Size Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.01 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.01.

Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.

Alerts

scanstatuszoneflushdialnote
2026-09-15APPROACHING 15.03–15.10 (3t) 2.3 ADR 0-0.25%
2026-09-16APPROACHING 15.03–15.10 (3t) 2.9 ADR 0-0.25%
2026-09-17APPROACHING 15.03–15.10 (3t) 2.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-18APPROACHING 14.51–14.83 (9t) 2.8 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-21APPROACHING 15.03–15.10 (3t) 2.5 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-22APPROACHING 15.03–15.10 (3t) 2.7 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-23APPROACHING 14.69–14.83 (6t) 2.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-24APPROACHING 15.03–15.10 (3t) 2.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-28IN_ZONE 14.69–14.83 (6t) 2.2 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-02IN_ZONE 14.14–14.48 (11t) 2.6 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-05IN_ZONE 14.51–14.83 (10t) 2.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-08IN_ZONE 14.14–14.45 (10t) 2.2 ADR 0.25-0.50%

Events

ts (UTC)eventpricedetail
2026-09-15T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-15: never completed
2026-09-16T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-16: never completed
2026-09-17T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-17: never completed
2026-09-18T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-18: never completed
2026-09-21T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-21: never completed
2026-09-22T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-22: never completed
2026-09-23T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-23: never completed
2026-09-24T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-24: never completed
2026-09-25T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-25: never completed
2026-09-28T20:46ARMED 14.79 zone 14.69-14.83
2026-09-28T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-28: never completed
2026-09-29T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-29: never completed
2026-09-30T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-30: never completed
2026-10-01T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-01: never completed
2026-10-02T20:45ARMED 14.30 zone 14.14-14.48
2026-10-02T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-02: never completed
2026-10-05T20:46ARMED 14.60 zone 14.51-14.83
2026-10-05T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-05: never completed
2026-10-06T16:26UNDERCUT 14.49 RIVN: WATCHING — undercut 14.51, flush low 14.49, awaiting reclaim of 14.83
2026-10-06T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-06: never completed
2026-10-07T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-07: never completed
2026-10-08T20:46ARMED 14.33 zone 14.14-14.45
2026-10-08T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-10-08: never completed
Personal research log. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation. Hypothetical/paper outcomes unless stated otherwise. An independent research system; not affiliated with, endorsed by, or representing any individual, service, or brand.