OK · data 2026-10-08 · 311/313 · watch stalled · f04d951 Sign in to run
CMI FAILED 2026-09-15 → 2026-10-01 · obp

Play: wait for a flush below 514.37, then buy the reclaim back above 519.09. Stop = the flush low (514.00 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.

How to play this (plain English)

The setup: CMI sold off hard into a tested support zone at 514.37–519.09. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.

Entry 519.28 (actual reclaim price)
Stop 514.00 (the actual intraday flush low)
1R 5.28 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it.
+2R target529.85
+3R target535.14
Size Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 5.28 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 5.28.

Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.

Alerts

scanstatuszoneflushdialnote
2026-09-15APPROACHING 525.56–527.40 (5t) 2.6 ADR 0-0.25%
2026-09-16APPROACHING 525.56–527.40 (5t) 3.4 ADR 0-0.25%
2026-09-18APPROACHING 525.56–527.40 (5t) 2.8 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-21APPROACHING 525.56–527.40 (5t) 2.5 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-22IN_ZONE 525.56–527.40 (5t) 2.9 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-23APPROACHING 516.96–521.80 (4t) 3.4 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-24IN_ZONE 516.96–521.80 (4t) 2.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-28IN_ZONE 514.37–519.09 (4t) 2.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-30IN_ZONE 514.37–519.09 (4t) 2.0 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-01IN_ZONE 514.37–519.09 (4t) 2.0 ADR 0.25-0.50%

Events

ts (UTC)eventpricedetail
2026-09-15T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-15: never completed
2026-09-16T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-16: never completed
2026-09-17T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-17: never completed
2026-09-18T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-18: never completed
2026-09-21T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-21: never completed
2026-09-22T20:45ARMED 526.13 zone 525.56-527.40
2026-09-22T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-22: never completed
2026-09-23T13:31UNDERCUT 521.61 CMI: WATCHING — undercut 525.56, flush low 521.61, awaiting reclaim of 527.40
2026-09-23T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-23: never completed
2026-09-24T20:46ARMED 521.07 zone 516.96-521.80
2026-09-24T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-24: never completed
2026-09-25T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-25: never completed
2026-09-28T20:46ARMED 517.84 zone 514.37-519.09
2026-09-28T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-28: never completed
2026-09-29T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-29: never completed
2026-09-30T20:45ARMED 516.57 zone 514.37-519.09
2026-09-30T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-30: never completed
2026-10-01T13:31UNDERCUT 514.00 CMI: WATCHING — undercut 514.37, flush low 514.00, awaiting reclaim of 519.09
2026-10-01T15:30TRIGGERED 519.28 CMI: TRIGGERED @ 519.28 | stop 510.28 (flush low) | risk/share 9.00 (1.73%)
2026-10-01T17:48FAILED 510.28 CMI: FAILED — green-to-red back through 514.37; if entered, exit per rules
2026-10-01T20:46ARMED 517.00 zone 514.37-519.09
2026-10-01T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-01 captured
2026-10-02T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-02 captured
2026-10-05T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-05 captured
2026-10-06T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-06 captured
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