Play: wait for a flush below 410.54, then buy the reclaim back above 414.50. Stop = the flush low (410.34 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: AXON sold off hard into a tested support zone at 410.54–414.50. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 423.67 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 410.34 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 13.33 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 450.33 |
| +3R target | 463.66 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 13.33 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 13.33. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 480.18–485.75 (5t) | 2.7 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-15 | APPROACHING | 420.61–423.04 (3t) | 4.1 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-18 | APPROACHING | 434.46–438.97 (3t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | APPROACHING | 434.46–438.97 (3t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 434.46–438.97 (3t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | APPROACHING | 434.46–438.97 (3t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 434.46–438.97 (3t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 420.61–423.04 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 420.61–423.04 (3t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 410.54–414.50 (6t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | IN_ZONE | 420.61–423.04 (3t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | IN_ZONE | 420.61–423.04 (3t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | IN_ZONE | 410.54–414.50 (6t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | IN_ZONE | 410.54–414.50 (6t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-29: never completed | |
| 2026-09-30T20:45 | ARMED | 422.52 | zone 420.61-423.04 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T13:43 | UNDERCUT | 417.45 | AXON: WATCHING — undercut 420.61, flush low 417.45, awaiting reclaim of 423.04 |
| 2026-10-01T19:20 | TRIGGERED | 423.67 | AXON: TRIGGERED @ 423.67 | stop 412.13 (flush low) | risk/share 11.54 (2.72%) |
| 2026-10-01T20:46 | ARMED | 422.21 | zone 420.61-423.04 |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T13:38 | UNDERCUT | 418.60 | AXON: WATCHING — undercut 420.61, flush low 418.60, awaiting reclaim of 423.04 |
| 2026-10-02T20:45 | ARMED | 413.35 | zone 410.54-414.50 |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T14:01 | UNDERCUT | 410.34 | AXON: WATCHING — undercut 410.54, flush low 410.34, awaiting reclaim of 414.50 |
| 2026-10-05T20:46 | ARMED | 411.81 | zone 410.54-414.50 |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |