Play: wait for a flush below 3.96, then buy the reclaim back above 4.07. Stop = the flush low (3.96 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: UROY sold off hard into a tested support zone at 3.96–4.07. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 4.08 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 3.96 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.12 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 4.33 |
| +3R target | 4.46 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.12 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.12. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 3.96–4.07 (6t) | 3.3 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-15 | APPROACHING | 3.96–4.07 (6t) | 3.3 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-17 | IN_ZONE | 4.42–4.53 (6t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | APPROACHING | 3.96–4.07 (6t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 3.96–4.07 (6t) | 2.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 3.96–4.07 (6t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | IN_ZONE | 3.96–4.07 (6t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 3.96–4.07 (6t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | IN_ZONE | 3.96–4.07 (6t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | IN_ZONE | 3.84–3.95 (9t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | IN_ZONE | 3.96–4.07 (6t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T20:46 | ARMED | 4.48 | zone 4.42-4.53 |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T20:46 | ARMED | 4.00 | zone 3.96-4.07 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-29: never completed | |
| 2026-09-30T20:45 | ARMED | 4.04 | zone 3.96-4.07 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T14:56 | UNDERCUT | 3.96 | UROY: WATCHING — undercut 3.96, flush low 3.96, awaiting reclaim of 4.07 |
| 2026-10-01T20:46 | ARMED | 3.88 | zone 3.84-3.95 |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T20:45 | ARMED | 3.97 | zone 3.96-4.07 |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T14:32 | UNDERCUT | 3.96 | UROY: WATCHING — undercut 3.96, flush low 3.96, awaiting reclaim of 4.07 |
| 2026-10-05T19:58 | TRIGGERED | 4.08 | UROY: TRIGGERED @ 4.08 | stop 3.96 (flush low) | risk/share 0.12 (3.06%) |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |