Play: wait for a flush below 61.00, then buy the reclaim back above 62.41. Stop = the flush low (63.53 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: CVNA sold off hard into a tested support zone at 61.00–62.41. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 64.82 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 63.53 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 1.28 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 67.39 |
| +3R target | 68.67 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 1.28 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 1.28. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | IN_ZONE | 69.05–70.82 (9t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 69.05–70.82 (9t) | 2.2 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-15 | IN_ZONE | 65.64–67.03 (4t) | 2.9 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-16 | APPROACHING | 63.63–65.17 (9t) | 3.4 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-17 | IN_ZONE | 65.64–67.03 (4t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-18 | IN_ZONE | 63.63–65.17 (9t) | 3.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | APPROACHING | 65.64–67.03 (4t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 63.63–65.17 (9t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | IN_ZONE | 63.63–65.17 (9t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | IN_ZONE | 63.63–64.76 (7t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 63.63–64.76 (7t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 57.70–59.06 (4t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 61.00–62.41 (12t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 61.00–62.41 (12t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 61.00–62.41 (12t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11T20:45 | ARMED | 69.16 | zone 69.05-70.82 |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-11: never completed | |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T20:45 | ARMED | 66.90 | zone 65.64-67.03 |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T19:23 | UNDERCUT | 65.63 | CVNA: WATCHING — undercut 65.64, flush low 65.63, awaiting reclaim of 67.03 |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T20:45 | ARMED | 65.84 | zone 65.64-67.03 |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T13:33 | UNDERCUT | 65.58 | CVNA: WATCHING — undercut 65.64, flush low 65.58, awaiting reclaim of 67.03 |
| 2026-09-18T20:45 | ARMED | 65.11 | zone 63.63-65.17 |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T20:46 | ARMED | 63.95 | zone 63.63-65.17 |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 63.12 | CVNA: WATCHING — undercut 63.63, flush low 63.12, awaiting reclaim of 65.17 |
| 2026-09-24T20:45 | ARMED | 64.18 | zone 63.63-64.76 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T14:03 | UNDERCUT | 63.53 | CVNA: WATCHING — undercut 63.63, flush low 63.53, awaiting reclaim of 64.76 |
| 2026-09-25T16:09 | TRIGGERED | 64.82 | CVNA: TRIGGERED @ 64.82 | stop 63.43 (flush low) | risk/share 1.39 (2.14%) |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |