OK · data 2026-10-08 · 311/313 · watch stalled · f04d951 Sign in to run
CVNA TRIGGERED 2026-09-11 → 2026-10-01 · obp

Play: wait for a flush below 61.00, then buy the reclaim back above 62.41. Stop = the flush low (63.53 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.

How to play this (plain English)

The setup: CVNA sold off hard into a tested support zone at 61.00–62.41. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.

Entry 64.82 (actual reclaim price)
Stop 63.53 (the actual intraday flush low)
1R 1.28 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it.
+2R target67.39
+3R target68.67
Size Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 1.28 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 1.28.

Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.

Alerts

scanstatuszoneflushdialnote
2026-09-11IN_ZONE 69.05–70.82 (9t) 2.2 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-14APPROACHING 69.05–70.82 (9t) 2.2 ADR 0-0.25%
2026-09-15IN_ZONE 65.64–67.03 (4t) 2.9 ADR 0-0.25%
2026-09-16APPROACHING 63.63–65.17 (9t) 3.4 ADR 0-0.25%
2026-09-17IN_ZONE 65.64–67.03 (4t) 3.4 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-18IN_ZONE 63.63–65.17 (9t) 3.7 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-21APPROACHING 65.64–67.03 (4t) 2.5 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-22APPROACHING 63.63–65.17 (9t) 2.2 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-23IN_ZONE 63.63–65.17 (9t) 3.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-24IN_ZONE 63.63–64.76 (7t) 3.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-25APPROACHING 63.63–64.76 (7t) 2.1 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-28APPROACHING 57.70–59.06 (4t) 3.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-29APPROACHING 61.00–62.41 (12t) 2.4 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-09-30APPROACHING 61.00–62.41 (12t) 2.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%
2026-10-01APPROACHING 61.00–62.41 (12t) 3.3 ADR 0.25-0.50%

Events

ts (UTC)eventpricedetail
2026-09-11T20:45ARMED 69.16 zone 69.05-70.82
2026-09-11T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-11: never completed
2026-09-14T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-14: never completed
2026-09-15T20:45ARMED 66.90 zone 65.64-67.03
2026-09-15T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-15: never completed
2026-09-16T19:23UNDERCUT 65.63 CVNA: WATCHING — undercut 65.64, flush low 65.63, awaiting reclaim of 67.03
2026-09-16T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-16: never completed
2026-09-17T20:45ARMED 65.84 zone 65.64-67.03
2026-09-17T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-17: never completed
2026-09-18T13:33UNDERCUT 65.58 CVNA: WATCHING — undercut 65.64, flush low 65.58, awaiting reclaim of 67.03
2026-09-18T20:45ARMED 65.11 zone 63.63-65.17
2026-09-18T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-18: never completed
2026-09-21T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-21: never completed
2026-09-22T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-22: never completed
2026-09-23T20:46ARMED 63.95 zone 63.63-65.17
2026-09-23T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-23: never completed
2026-09-24T13:31UNDERCUT 63.12 CVNA: WATCHING — undercut 63.63, flush low 63.12, awaiting reclaim of 65.17
2026-09-24T20:45ARMED 64.18 zone 63.63-64.76
2026-09-24T21:00NO_TRIGGER session 2026-09-24: never completed
2026-09-25T14:03UNDERCUT 63.53 CVNA: WATCHING — undercut 63.63, flush low 63.53, awaiting reclaim of 64.76
2026-09-25T16:09TRIGGERED 64.82 CVNA: TRIGGERED @ 64.82 | stop 63.43 (flush low) | risk/share 1.39 (2.14%)
2026-09-25T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-25 captured
2026-09-28T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-28 captured
2026-09-29T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-29 captured
2026-09-30T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-09-30 captured
2026-10-01T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-01 captured
2026-10-02T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-02 captured
2026-10-05T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-05 captured
2026-10-06T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-06 captured
2026-10-07T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-07 captured
2026-10-08T21:00SESSION_END session 2026-10-08 captured
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