Play: wait for a flush below 134.57, then buy the reclaim back above 137.70. Stop = the flush low (132.71 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: ORCL sold off hard into a tested support zone at 134.57–137.70. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 149.91 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 132.71 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 17.21 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 184.33 |
| +3R target | 201.54 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 17.21 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 17.21. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | IN_ZONE | 152.42–155.75 (5t) | 2.7 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-11 | APPROACHING | 146.43–149.65 (5t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 138.59–141.18 (5t) | 4.2 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-15 | IN_ZONE | 138.59–141.18 (5t) | 4.4 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-16 | APPROACHING | 138.59–141.18 (5t) | 4.4 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-17 | APPROACHING | 146.43–149.65 (5t) | 3.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-18 | IN_ZONE | 146.43–149.65 (5t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | IN_ZONE | 146.43–149.65 (5t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | IN_ZONE | 146.43–149.65 (5t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | IN_ZONE | 138.59–141.18 (6t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | IN_ZONE | 134.57–137.70 (10t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 134.57–137.70 (10t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | IN_ZONE | 134.57–137.70 (10t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 134.57–137.70 (10t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10T20:45 | ARMED | 152.94 | zone 152.42-155.75 |
| 2026-09-10T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-10: never completed | |
| 2026-09-11T14:22 | UNDERCUT | 151.17 | ORCL: WATCHING — undercut 152.42, flush low 151.17, awaiting reclaim of 155.75 |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-11: never completed | |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T20:45 | ARMED | 140.35 | zone 138.59-141.18 |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T20:45 | ARMED | 147.61 | zone 146.43-149.65 |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T13:34 | UNDERCUT | 146.40 | ORCL: WATCHING — undercut 146.43, flush low 146.40, awaiting reclaim of 149.65 |
| 2026-09-21T14:12 | TRIGGERED | 149.91 | ORCL: TRIGGERED @ 149.91 | stop 146.21 (flush low) | risk/share 3.70 (2.47%) |
| 2026-09-21T20:45 | ARMED | 148.56 | zone 146.43-149.65 |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-21 captured | |
| 2026-09-22T20:45 | ARMED | 149.20 | zone 146.43-149.65 |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-22 captured | |
| 2026-09-23T13:32 | UNDERCUT | 145.94 | ORCL: WATCHING — undercut 146.43, flush low 145.94, awaiting reclaim of 149.65 |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-23 captured | |
| 2026-09-24T20:45 | ARMED | 139.54 | zone 138.59-141.18 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 137.88 | ORCL: WATCHING — undercut 138.59, flush low 137.88, awaiting reclaim of 141.18 |
| 2026-09-25T20:45 | ARMED | 137.10 | zone 134.57-137.70 |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 132.71 | ORCL: WATCHING — undercut 134.57, flush low 132.71, awaiting reclaim of 137.70 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T20:45 | ARMED | 137.30 | zone 134.57-137.70 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured |