Play: wait for a flush below 325.01, then buy the reclaim back above 326.40. Stop = the flush low (336.48 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: JPM sold off hard into a tested support zone at 325.01–326.40. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 338.22 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 336.48 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 1.74 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 341.70 |
| +3R target | 343.44 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 1.74 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 1.74. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | APPROACHING | 350.37–353.33 (5t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-10 | APPROACHING | 350.37–353.33 (5t) | 2.1 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-15 | IN_ZONE | 350.37–353.33 (5t) | 3.3 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-16 | APPROACHING | 343.45–343.78 (3t) | 2.8 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-17 | APPROACHING | 343.45–343.78 (3t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-18 | APPROACHING | 343.07–343.78 (4t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 337.25–338.09 (3t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | IN_ZONE | 337.25–338.09 (3t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 337.25–338.09 (3t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 337.25–338.09 (3t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 325.01–326.40 (4t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 325.01–326.40 (4t) | 2.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-09: never completed | |
| 2026-09-10T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-10: never completed | |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-11: never completed | |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T20:45 | ARMED | 352.49 | zone 350.37-353.33 |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T13:50 | UNDERCUT | 350.11 | JPM: WATCHING — undercut 350.37, flush low 350.11, awaiting reclaim of 353.33 |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T20:46 | ARMED | 337.53 | zone 337.25-338.09 |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T13:38 | UNDERCUT | 336.48 | JPM: WATCHING — undercut 337.25, flush low 336.48, awaiting reclaim of 338.09 |
| 2026-09-24T14:05 | TRIGGERED | 338.22 | JPM: TRIGGERED @ 338.22 | stop 335.95 (flush low) | risk/share 2.27 (0.67%) |
| 2026-09-24T14:34 | FAILED | 335.95 | JPM: FAILED — green-to-red back through 337.25; if entered, exit per rules |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured |