STX
OPEN
2026-08-10 → 2026-08-10 · obp
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: STX sold off hard into a tested support zone at 786.01–801.89. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 801.89 (≈ the zone top — the reclaim level) |
| Stop | 786.01 (provisional: the zone bottom — once a real flush happens, the stop moves to that flush low, usually tighter) |
| 1R | 15.88 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 833.65 |
| +3R target | 849.53 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 15.88 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 15.88. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | APPROACHING | 786.01–801.89 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-08-10 | APPROACHING | 786.01–801.89 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|
Personal research log. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation. Hypothetical/paper outcomes unless stated otherwise. An independent research system; not affiliated with, endorsed by, or representing any individual, service, or brand.