Play: wait for a flush below 481.09, then buy the reclaim back above 483.65. Stop = the flush low (478.89 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: SPOT sold off hard into a tested support zone at 481.09–483.65. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 484.63 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 478.89 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 5.74 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 496.10 |
| +3R target | 501.84 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 5.74 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 5.74. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | APPROACHING | 515.20–525.81 (5t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-09 | IN_ZONE | 515.20–525.81 (5t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-10 | IN_ZONE | 515.20–525.81 (5t) | 3.4 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-11 | APPROACHING | 515.20–523.23 (4t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 548.55–548.73 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-18 | APPROACHING | 504.83–507.83 (4t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | IN_ZONE | 515.20–523.23 (4t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 495.76–497.52 (3t) | 3.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | APPROACHING | 504.83–507.83 (4t) | 3.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 504.83–507.83 (4t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 504.83–507.83 (4t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | IN_ZONE | 495.76–497.52 (3t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 488.97–491.30 (3t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 481.09–483.65 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 488.97–491.30 (3t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 461.52–464.39 (6t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | IN_ZONE | 481.09–483.65 (3t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-06 | APPROACHING | 481.09–483.65 (3t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-08: never completed | |
| 2026-09-09T20:46 | ARMED | 523.00 | zone 515.20-525.81 |
| 2026-09-09T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-09: never completed | |
| 2026-09-10T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 512.50 | SPOT: WATCHING — undercut 515.20, flush low 512.50, awaiting reclaim of 525.81 |
| 2026-09-10T14:22 | TRIGGERED | 528.05 | SPOT: TRIGGERED @ 528.05 | stop 512.50 (flush low) | risk/share 15.54 (2.94%) |
| 2026-09-10T20:45 | ARMED | 521.73 | zone 515.20-525.81 |
| 2026-09-10T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-10 captured | |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-11 captured | |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-14 captured | |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-15 captured | |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-16 captured | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-17 captured | |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-18 captured | |
| 2026-09-21T20:45 | ARMED | 516.77 | zone 515.20-523.23 |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-21 captured | |
| 2026-09-22T13:32 | UNDERCUT | 514.76 | SPOT: WATCHING — undercut 515.20, flush low 514.76, awaiting reclaim of 523.23 |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-22 captured | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-23 captured | |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T20:46 | ARMED | 497.51 | zone 495.76-497.52 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T13:34 | UNDERCUT | 494.78 | SPOT: WATCHING — undercut 495.76, flush low 494.78, awaiting reclaim of 497.52 |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T20:46 | ARMED | 483.05 | zone 481.09-483.65 |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 478.89 | SPOT: WATCHING — undercut 481.09, flush low 478.89, awaiting reclaim of 483.65 |
| 2026-10-06T14:01 | TRIGGERED | 484.63 | SPOT: TRIGGERED @ 484.63 | stop 478.89 (flush low) | risk/share 5.74 (1.18%) |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |