Play: wait for a flush below 137.20, then buy the reclaim back above 138.95. Stop = the flush low (143.05 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: FAS sold off hard into a tested support zone at 137.20–138.95. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 161.87 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 143.05 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 18.82 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 199.51 |
| +3R target | 218.33 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 18.82 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 18.82. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | APPROACHING | 172.40–174.79 (13t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-09 | IN_ZONE | 172.40–174.79 (13t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-10 | IN_ZONE | 169.40–171.11 (4t) | 3.4 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-11 | IN_ZONE | 172.40–174.79 (13t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 169.40–171.11 (4t) | 3.1 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-15 | IN_ZONE | 169.40–171.11 (4t) | 3.7 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-16 | APPROACHING | 160.41–161.66 (5t) | 4.6 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-17 | IN_ZONE | 160.41–161.66 (5t) | 3.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-18 | IN_ZONE | 160.41–161.66 (5t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | APPROACHING | 160.41–161.66 (5t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 148.17–151.04 (6t) | 4.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | APPROACHING | 148.17–150.20 (5t) | 4.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | IN_ZONE | 148.17–150.20 (5t) | 5.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 148.17–151.04 (6t) | 3.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 146.53–146.71 (3t) | 3.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | IN_ZONE | 143.37–146.53 (8t) | 3.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 137.20–138.95 (4t) | 4.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 137.20–138.95 (4t) | 4.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 137.20–138.95 (4t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | IN_ZONE | 143.37–146.53 (8t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-07 | APPROACHING | 137.20–138.95 (4t) | 2.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-08: never completed | |
| 2026-09-09T20:46 | ARMED | 172.41 | zone 172.40-174.79 |
| 2026-09-09T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-09: never completed | |
| 2026-09-10T13:40 | UNDERCUT | 171.36 | FAS: WATCHING — undercut 172.40, flush low 171.36, awaiting reclaim of 174.79 |
| 2026-09-10T20:45 | ARMED | 170.67 | zone 169.40-171.11 |
| 2026-09-10T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-10: never completed | |
| 2026-09-11T20:45 | ARMED | 173.91 | zone 172.40-174.79 |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-11: never completed | |
| 2026-09-14T15:37 | UNDERCUT | 172.06 | FAS: WATCHING — undercut 172.40, flush low 172.06, awaiting reclaim of 174.79 |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T20:45 | ARMED | 170.18 | zone 169.40-171.11 |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T13:46 | UNDERCUT | 167.87 | FAS: WATCHING — undercut 169.40, flush low 167.87, awaiting reclaim of 171.11 |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T20:45 | ARMED | 161.45 | zone 160.41-161.66 |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 159.07 | FAS: WATCHING — undercut 160.41, flush low 159.07, awaiting reclaim of 161.66 |
| 2026-09-18T19:46 | TRIGGERED | 161.87 | FAS: TRIGGERED @ 161.87 | stop 158.49 (flush low) | risk/share 3.38 (2.09%) |
| 2026-09-18T20:45 | ARMED | 161.41 | zone 160.41-161.66 |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-18 captured | |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-21 captured | |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-22 captured | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-23 captured | |
| 2026-09-24T20:45 | ARMED | 150.06 | zone 148.17-150.20 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T20:45 | ARMED | 145.73 | zone 143.37-146.53 |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T15:49 | UNDERCUT | 143.05 | FAS: WATCHING — undercut 143.37, flush low 143.05, awaiting reclaim of 146.53 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T20:46 | ARMED | 144.17 | zone 143.37-146.53 |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |