Play: wait for a flush below 4.89, then buy the reclaim back above 4.89. Stop = the flush low (5.03 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: PTON sold off hard into a tested support zone at 4.89–4.89. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 5.08 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 5.03 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.05 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 5.19 |
| +3R target | 5.25 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.05 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.05. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | IN_ZONE | 5.04–5.08 (3t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-09 | IN_ZONE | 5.04–5.08 (3t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-10 | APPROACHING | 4.89–4.89 (3t) | 3.1 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-11 | APPROACHING | 4.89–4.89 (3t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 4.89–4.89 (3t) | 3.1 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-17 | APPROACHING | 4.89–4.89 (3t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 4.89–4.89 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 4.89–4.89 (3t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | IN_ZONE | 5.04–5.08 (3t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 4.89–4.89 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08T20:45 | ARMED | 5.04 | zone 5.04-5.08 |
| 2026-09-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-08: never completed | |
| 2026-09-09T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 5.00 | PTON: WATCHING — undercut 5.04, flush low 5.00, awaiting reclaim of 5.08 |
| 2026-09-09T14:57 | TRIGGERED | 5.08 | PTON: TRIGGERED @ 5.08 | stop 5.00 (flush low) | risk/share 0.08 (1.67%) |
| 2026-09-09T15:22 | FAILED | 5.00 | PTON: FAILED — green-to-red back through 5.04; if entered, exit per rules |
| 2026-09-09T20:46 | ARMED | 5.06 | zone 5.04-5.08 |
| 2026-09-09T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-09 captured | |
| 2026-09-10T13:32 | UNDERCUT | 5.03 | PTON: WATCHING — undercut 5.04, flush low 5.03, awaiting reclaim of 5.08 |
| 2026-09-10T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-10 captured | |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-11 captured | |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-14 captured | |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-15 captured | |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-16 captured | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-17 captured | |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-18 captured | |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-21 captured | |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-22 captured | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-23 captured | |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T20:45 | ARMED | 5.04 | zone 5.04-5.08 |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 5.03 | PTON: WATCHING — undercut 5.04, flush low 5.03, awaiting reclaim of 5.08 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |