Play: wait for a flush below 260.00, then buy the reclaim back above 261.31. Stop = the flush low (258.86 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: ADP sold off hard into a tested support zone at 260.00–261.31. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 261.36 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 258.86 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 2.50 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 266.35 |
| +3R target | 268.84 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 2.50 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 2.50. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | APPROACHING | 272.18–272.62 (3t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-07 | APPROACHING | 272.18–272.62 (3t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-08 | IN_ZONE | 267.85–268.08 (4t) | 3.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-09 | APPROACHING | 260.00–261.31 (4t) | 4.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-11 | APPROACHING | 267.85–268.08 (4t) | 4.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 272.18–272.62 (3t) | 3.3 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-15 | APPROACHING | 272.18–272.62 (3t) | 2.8 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-18 | APPROACHING | 267.85–268.08 (4t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | APPROACHING | 267.85–268.08 (4t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 267.85–268.08 (4t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | APPROACHING | 260.00–261.31 (4t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 260.00–261.31 (4t) | 3.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 260.00–261.31 (4t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 260.00–261.31 (4t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 260.00–261.31 (4t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 254.19–256.83 (4t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 260.00–261.31 (4t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 254.19–256.83 (4t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | IN_ZONE | 260.00–261.31 (4t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-04: never completed | |
| 2026-09-08T20:45 | ARMED | 267.96 | zone 267.85-268.08 |
| 2026-09-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-08: never completed | |
| 2026-09-09T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 267.48 | ADP: WATCHING — undercut 267.85, flush low 267.48, awaiting reclaim of 268.08 |
| 2026-09-09T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-09: never completed | |
| 2026-09-10T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-10: never completed | |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-11: never completed | |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-29: never completed | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-30: never completed | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-01: never completed | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-02: never completed | |
| 2026-10-05T20:46 | ARMED | 260.26 | zone 260.00-261.31 |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-10-05: never completed | |
| 2026-10-06T13:32 | UNDERCUT | 258.86 | ADP: WATCHING — undercut 260.00, flush low 258.86, awaiting reclaim of 261.31 |
| 2026-10-06T13:52 | TRIGGERED | 261.36 | ADP: TRIGGERED @ 261.36 | stop 258.86 (flush low) | risk/share 2.50 (0.95%) |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |