Play: wait for a flush below 8.17, then buy the reclaim back above 8.21. Stop = the flush low (8.12 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: METC sold off hard into a tested support zone at 8.17–8.21. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 8.36 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 8.12 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.24 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 8.85 |
| +3R target | 9.09 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.24 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.24. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | APPROACHING | 11.74–12.10 (5t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-04 | IN_ZONE | 13.15–13.63 (7t) | 2.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-07 | IN_ZONE | 13.15–13.63 (7t) | 2.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-08 | APPROACHING | 11.74–12.10 (5t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-09 | APPROACHING | 11.74–12.10 (6t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-10 | APPROACHING | 10.42–10.69 (6t) | 3.1 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-11 | APPROACHING | 10.42–10.69 (6t) | 3.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 9.35–9.75 (6t) | 4.3 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-15 | APPROACHING | 9.35–9.57 (4t) | 4.1 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-16 | APPROACHING | 9.35–9.75 (6t) | 3.9 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-17 | APPROACHING | 9.35–9.75 (6t) | 3.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-18 | APPROACHING | 8.75–8.80 (3t) | 3.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | IN_ZONE | 9.35–9.57 (4t) | 3.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-22 | APPROACHING | 9.35–9.57 (4t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | APPROACHING | 8.75–8.80 (3t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 8.75–8.80 (3t) | 2.9 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 8.75–8.80 (3t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 8.75–8.80 (3t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 8.17–8.34 (4t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | IN_ZONE | 8.17–8.34 (4t) | 2.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 8.17–8.21 (3t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-06 | APPROACHING | 8.17–8.21 (3t) | 2.6 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-03: never completed | |
| 2026-09-04T20:45 | ARMED | 13.20 | zone 13.15-13.63 |
| 2026-09-04T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-04: never completed | |
| 2026-09-07T20:45 | ARMED | 13.20 | zone 13.15-13.63 |
| 2026-09-08T13:32 | UNDERCUT | 12.78 | METC: WATCHING — undercut 13.15, flush low 12.78, awaiting reclaim of 13.63 |
| 2026-09-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-08: never completed | |
| 2026-09-09T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-09: never completed | |
| 2026-09-10T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-10: never completed | |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-11: never completed | |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T20:45 | ARMED | 9.37 | zone 9.35-9.57 |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T13:33 | UNDERCUT | 9.20 | METC: WATCHING — undercut 9.35, flush low 9.20, awaiting reclaim of 9.57 |
| 2026-09-22T15:08 | TRIGGERED | 9.62 | METC: TRIGGERED @ 9.62 | stop 9.20 (flush low) | risk/share 0.42 (4.37%) |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-22 captured | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-23 captured | |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T20:45 | ARMED | 8.27 | zone 8.17-8.34 |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T13:39 | UNDERCUT | 8.12 | METC: WATCHING — undercut 8.17, flush low 8.12, awaiting reclaim of 8.34 |
| 2026-10-01T19:53 | TRIGGERED | 8.36 | METC: TRIGGERED @ 8.36 | stop 7.88 (flush low) | risk/share 0.48 (5.74%) |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |