Play: wait for a flush below 30.87, then buy the reclaim back above 31.70. Stop = the flush low (30.71 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: ENPH sold off hard into a tested support zone at 30.87–31.70. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 31.70 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 30.71 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 0.99 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 33.69 |
| +3R target | 34.69 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 0.99 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 0.99. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | APPROACHING | 35.06–35.56 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-01 | APPROACHING | 34.96–35.06 (3t) | 2.6 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-02 | APPROACHING | 34.96–35.06 (3t) | 2.9 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-03 | APPROACHING | 34.96–35.06 (3t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-04 | APPROACHING | 34.96–35.06 (3t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-07 | APPROACHING | 34.96–35.06 (3t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-10 | APPROACHING | 35.06–35.56 (3t) | 2.6 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 35.06–35.56 (3t) | 2.3 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-16 | IN_ZONE | 35.06–35.56 (3t) | 2.4 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-18 | IN_ZONE | 34.04–34.96 (8t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | IN_ZONE | 34.04–34.96 (8t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-23 | IN_ZONE | 33.01–33.65 (7t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | APPROACHING | 30.87–31.70 (6t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | APPROACHING | 30.87–31.70 (6t) | 2.7 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | IN_ZONE | 30.87–31.70 (6t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 30.87–31.70 (6t) | 3.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | APPROACHING | 30.87–31.70 (6t) | 2.2 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-08-31: never completed | |
| 2026-09-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-01: never completed | |
| 2026-09-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-02: never completed | |
| 2026-09-03T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-03: never completed | |
| 2026-09-04T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-04: never completed | |
| 2026-09-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-08: never completed | |
| 2026-09-09T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-09: never completed | |
| 2026-09-10T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-10: never completed | |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-11: never completed | |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T20:45 | ARMED | 35.56 | zone 35.06-35.56 |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T20:45 | ARMED | 34.64 | zone 34.04-34.96 |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T13:35 | UNDERCUT | 33.88 | ENPH: WATCHING — undercut 34.04, flush low 33.88, awaiting reclaim of 34.96 |
| 2026-09-21T20:45 | ARMED | 34.76 | zone 34.04-34.96 |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-22: never completed | |
| 2026-09-23T20:46 | ARMED | 33.07 | zone 33.01-33.65 |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-23: never completed | |
| 2026-09-24T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 32.65 | ENPH: WATCHING — undercut 33.01, flush low 32.65, awaiting reclaim of 33.65 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-24: never completed | |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-25: never completed | |
| 2026-09-28T20:46 | ARMED | 30.91 | zone 30.87-31.70 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-28: never completed | |
| 2026-09-29T13:33 | UNDERCUT | 30.71 | ENPH: WATCHING — undercut 30.87, flush low 30.71, awaiting reclaim of 31.70 |
| 2026-09-29T19:26 | TRIGGERED | 31.70 | ENPH: TRIGGERED @ 31.70 | stop 30.55 (flush low) | risk/share 1.15 (3.63%) |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |