Play: wait for a flush below 8.56, then buy the reclaim back above 8.60. Stop = the flush low (8.97 actual). No reclaim, no trade — full plan below.
How to play this (plain English)
The setup: NXE sold off hard into a tested support zone at 8.56–8.60. The trade is the flush-and-reclaim: wait for price to dip below the zone intraday (the flush), stabilize, then climb back above it (the reclaim). The reclaim is the entry — you're buying the moment sellers who broke the level have been absorbed. If price undercuts the zone and keeps falling, there is no trade; you never buy the knife.
| Entry | 10.01 (actual reclaim price) |
| Stop | 8.97 (the actual intraday flush low) |
| 1R | 1.04 — entry minus stop. This is your unit of risk; every profit is measured in multiples of it. |
| +2R target | 12.08 |
| +3R target | 13.11 |
| Size | Risk 0.25-0.50% of the account (the regime dial). Shares = (account × risk%) ÷ 1R. Example: risking 0.25% with a 1.04 stop distance → shares = 0.0025 × account ÷ 1.04. |
Exit logic: if the trade rolls green-to-red back through the zone after entry, that's the FAILED signal — exit at the stop, lose 1R, move on. Winners typically run 4–8% over 3–10 days; sell partials at +2R/+3R and trail the rest. One losing trade costs 1R; the math works because winners are multiples of it.
Alerts
| scan | status | zone | flush | dial | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | APPROACHING | 9.80–10.03 (11t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-08-31 | APPROACHING | 9.80–10.03 (11t) | 2.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-01 | IN_ZONE | 9.80–10.03 (11t) | 3.2 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-02 | APPROACHING | 9.80–10.03 (11t) | 3.1 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-04 | APPROACHING | 10.59–10.65 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-07 | APPROACHING | 10.59–10.65 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-11 | IN_ZONE | 9.80–10.03 (12t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-14 | APPROACHING | 9.17–9.32 (4t) | 3.6 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-15 | APPROACHING | 9.17–9.32 (4t) | 3.7 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-16 | APPROACHING | 9.17–9.23 (3t) | 4.0 ADR | 0-0.25% | |
| 2026-09-17 | APPROACHING | 9.17–9.23 (3t) | 3.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-18 | APPROACHING | 9.17–9.23 (3t) | 3.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-21 | IN_ZONE | 9.80–9.99 (11t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-24 | IN_ZONE | 9.17–9.32 (5t) | 2.0 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-25 | IN_ZONE | 9.17–9.32 (5t) | 2.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-28 | APPROACHING | 8.78–8.89 (3t) | 3.4 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-29 | APPROACHING | 8.78–8.89 (3t) | 3.3 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-09-30 | APPROACHING | 8.78–8.89 (3t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-01 | IN_ZONE | 8.78–8.89 (3t) | 3.8 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-02 | APPROACHING | 8.78–8.89 (3t) | 3.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-05 | APPROACHING | 8.78–8.89 (3t) | 2.1 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-07 | APPROACHING | 8.77–8.89 (4t) | 2.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% | |
| 2026-10-08 | APPROACHING | 8.56–8.60 (5t) | 3.5 ADR | 0.25-0.50% |
Events
| ts (UTC) | event | price | detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-08-28: never completed | |
| 2026-08-31T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-08-31: never completed | |
| 2026-09-01T20:46 | ARMED | 9.93 | zone 9.80-10.03 |
| 2026-09-01T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-01: never completed | |
| 2026-09-02T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-02: never completed | |
| 2026-09-03T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-03: never completed | |
| 2026-09-04T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-04: never completed | |
| 2026-09-08T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-08: never completed | |
| 2026-09-09T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-09: never completed | |
| 2026-09-10T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-10: never completed | |
| 2026-09-11T20:45 | ARMED | 9.85 | zone 9.80-10.03 |
| 2026-09-11T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-11: never completed | |
| 2026-09-14T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 9.48 | NXE: WATCHING — undercut 9.80, flush low 9.48, awaiting reclaim of 10.03 |
| 2026-09-14T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-14: never completed | |
| 2026-09-15T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-15: never completed | |
| 2026-09-16T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-16: never completed | |
| 2026-09-17T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-17: never completed | |
| 2026-09-18T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-18: never completed | |
| 2026-09-21T20:45 | ARMED | 9.80 | zone 9.80-9.99 |
| 2026-09-21T21:00 | NO_TRIGGER | session 2026-09-21: never completed | |
| 2026-09-22T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 9.78 | NXE: WATCHING — undercut 9.80, flush low 9.78, awaiting reclaim of 9.99 |
| 2026-09-22T19:05 | TRIGGERED | 10.01 | NXE: TRIGGERED @ 10.01 | stop 9.64 (flush low) | risk/share 0.37 (3.65%) |
| 2026-09-22T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-22 captured | |
| 2026-09-23T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-23 captured | |
| 2026-09-24T20:46 | ARMED | 9.27 | zone 9.17-9.32 |
| 2026-09-24T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-24 captured | |
| 2026-09-25T20:45 | ARMED | 9.19 | zone 9.17-9.32 |
| 2026-09-25T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-25 captured | |
| 2026-09-28T13:31 | UNDERCUT | 8.97 | NXE: WATCHING — undercut 9.17, flush low 8.97, awaiting reclaim of 9.32 |
| 2026-09-28T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-28 captured | |
| 2026-09-29T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-29 captured | |
| 2026-09-30T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-09-30 captured | |
| 2026-10-01T20:46 | ARMED | 8.87 | zone 8.78-8.89 |
| 2026-10-01T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-01 captured | |
| 2026-10-02T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-02 captured | |
| 2026-10-05T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-05 captured | |
| 2026-10-06T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-06 captured | |
| 2026-10-07T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-07 captured | |
| 2026-10-08T21:00 | SESSION_END | session 2026-10-08 captured |